Projected vote shares from Germany's federal elections

Germany's 2025 federal election, on Sunday, February 23, is shaping up to be an exciting contest. According to the latest polls, the CDU/CSU, or union party, is expected to secure the largest vote share, around 29.9%, making Friedrich Merz the likely next chancellor.

Here's a breakdown of the expected vote share for each party:

- AfD: 19.7%

- SPD: 15.6%

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- Grüne (Green Party): 12.7%

- Die Linke: 7.5%

- FDP: 4.5%

- BSW: 4.6%

-Freie Wähler: 1.4

- Others: 4.1%

It's worth noting that the AfD Party is projected to gain significant support, but remains excluded from coalition considerations at the federal level. The seat distribution will depend on whether smaller parties like FDP, Linke, and BSW surpass the 5% threshold. Voter turnout, particularly among younger demographics and non-traditional voters, may also influence the final results.

Coalition talks are expected to extend well beyond election day, so the composition of Germany’s next government remains uncertain. Political insiders predict a period of intense negotiations, during which compromises and alliances will define the new era in German politics.

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Stay tuned as we continue to bring you the latest developments and in-depth analysis of Germany’s journey toward forming its next government.