Poland’s ruling party candidate narrowly leads opinion poll ahead of Sunday vote

Poland's ruling party hosts 'Patriotic March' in Warsaw

Warsaw Mayor Rafal Trzaskowski, the presidential candidate of the Civic Coalition, speaks as he attends "Patriotic March" organised by the ruling party, ahead of the second round of presidential elections, in Warsaw, Poland, May 25, 2025. Agencja Wyborcza.pl/Kuba Atys via REUTERS/ File Photo

Source: Agencja Wyborcza.pl

The candidate from Poland's ruling Civic Coalition (KO), Warsaw Mayor Rafal Trzaskowski, leads nationalist Karol Nawrocki in popularity ahead of Sunday's second round of the presidential election, a poll by Opinia24 for private broadcaster TVN 24 showed on Thursday.

According to the poll, Trzaskowski would get 47.4% of votes and Nawrocki 46.3%, while 3.6% were undecided and 2.7% declined to answer.

Trzaskowski, from Prime Minister Donald Tusk's ruling KO, came ahead of Nawrocki, the candidate backed by the conservative-nationalist PiS, in the first round of the presidential election, 31.4% to 29.5%, a much narrower gap than opinion polls had suggested.

The following is a summary of the most recent poll results (figures in %):

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